Saturday, June 02, 2007

Jeff Hawkins' Foleo
Jeff Hawkins talks about his new "mobile companion" product, the Foleo, with the unshakeable assurance that he knows something the rest of us won't "get" for at least a couple of years.
This is a whole new category. I think it's the best idea I've ever had. The further out you are, the more people have trouble understanding. It's hard to go back in time, but when we did the Pilot, there were a lot of people that thought that was a stupid idea. I mean a lot.

I'm very confident about (the Foleo). It's a challenging product to design. It's a great idea that's got a huge amount of legs to it.

Hawkins thinks of product marketing like a chess player. He envisions the position he wants to have later in the game and then figures out how to maneuver his opponent (or really, customers and developers) into unwittingly fulfilling his objective. He gives the example of the Palm Pilot:
We created this organizer. That's what it was. Now, we didn't want to create organizers. We wanted to create handheld computers. We wanted to create personal computers, actually.

But to get a product accepted you have to find somebody who wants to buy it. Then you get it going. Once you get it going and you have a lot of people writing software for it, then it evolves into something else. We knew in the very beginning that it was supposed to be a little computer. But we didn't say what it was. We basically said it's an organizer and we'll find the people who want to buy an expensive organizer. And it was an expensive organizer. It was $300 or $369. Then it turned into something else.

So what is the "something else" that the Foleo could turn into?

Long term Hawkins' states that Palm's goal is to make your mobile computer your primary computer. Ok, that's a fairly ambitious goal and I'm pretty sure I recall there being some other significant players in that market. ;-) It happens to be an idea I'm partial to myself, and for all their size and resources, I'm not sure the aforementioned competitors have the DNA to do this right. So I don't read this as complete crazy talk. But I'm most interested in the steps to get there.

One thing that dawned on me yesterday is that for the first time Palm owns the operating system on both sides of the sync—the pocketable computer and the big screen computer with the mass storage capabilities. This is an advantage that Microsoft has always held over them, and Palm just closed the gap. Synchronization has always been one of Palm's strong points versus its competitors, but it's never been completely bullet-proof and Vista whacked Palm's HotSync and Desktop software good. With full control of the OS on both sides, they are already starting to do some interesting things with synchronization that we haven't seen from them before. The option to keep your Foleo and smartphone continuously in sync sounds very promising if it's implemented in a way that you could safely save a document you're working on at the Foleo, grab your smartphone and run out of the office, knowing the revised document is there on the phone (or at least didn't get corrupted if you broke the connection too early).

But what if Palm uses its new beachhead on the PC (can we agree that Foleo is really a PC?) to extend the notion of the "companion" relationship with your phone a little farther? Foleo has WiFi so it can connect to the cloud just like your smartphone. And it sounds like Palm may be using a new or heavily revised sync protocol, based on the talk about the continuous sync option I just described. Could the two devices establish a peer-to-peer connection over the Internet? If so, and if this ability is built-in, easy to configure, and reliable I see wonderful usages. I'm a big flash drive user—I always have a few gigs hanging off my keychain—but the problem is I always seem to have forgotten to sync up the files I need the one time I really need them. If my phone was my new flash drive and I could sync up part of my file system with a remote Foleo I would be very tempted to start keeping a lot of my stuff on that Foleo where I could get at it remotely.

I know this is possible with a PC and smartphone today, but the fact that I've never bothered to set it up tells me that it's not going to be something that most other people will bother with either. Palm has an opportunity to make something like this work straight out of the box.

I also realize that Web 2.0 applications claim to eliminate the need for synchronization. But I'm not convinced that everyone is going to be happy to have the one copy of all their important data living on someone else's server. I know I'm not there yet. For one thing, Internet connectivity, especially wireless, is not ubiquitous or 100% available. At those times when it's not there, there's a lot of data of which I'd like to know I have a copy locally. When the network craps out while I'm trying to use a web app I always wonder what condition I'm going to find my data in when I am able to reconnect.

Brain-dead easy, bullet proof synchronization. That would be a huge innovation from Palm. Even if Foleo 1.0 isn't up to this remote sync scenario yet, the fact that Palm owns a big screen and a little one now paves the way.

Comments

Great article David, and we're in agreement on the prospects of the Foleo + Treo + server side services in the cloud that you've written about. I think those services are just a few chess moves away.

Posted by Brian at Saturday, June 02, 2007 16:22:20

Yes, that sounds very interesting, yet for now, I strongly doubt Palm is capable to do that.
Let's start with the Vista problems: Is Microsoft really to blame here? There have been many betas of Vista, does that mean the problems appeared with the final version? Or where Palm just to uninterested with their desktop software to test thoroughly in advance? Palm had so many years to improve HotSync, yet they basically did nothing. The log is now HTML, that is the only improvement I could think of. Not improvements are: To drop the Java conduit support, to break older conduits with HotSync 6 and to keep LAN syncs as complicated to set up like it's 1996.
Now I am asked believe that Palm is up to the task to deliver a new sync software inside a new OS inside a new PC? Will it support SyncML? Can I export all my appointments to an iCal file? And finally, will the number of categories be raised to 8 bit? Well, 6 would do for now!!
Sorry, I don't see Palm being energetic enough, thorough enough, visionary enough. They could be the Apple of mobile computing, that's why they still have my interest, but they just don't deliver convicingly.

Posted by em at Sunday, June 03, 2007 04:28:20

I agree that Palm took their eye off the Palm Desktop software ball. And I agree that the issue of whether they are energetic enough to really execute well on Hawkins' grand vision is the question of the hour.

There are a few reasons why I'm holding out some hope. The fact that we've got a totally new product with a new sync architecture *right now* demonstrates more capability already than people have been giving them credit. Hawkins' statement that they expect Foleo to sync with smartphones from other manufacturers suggests that interoperability was a design consideration from the start. Does that mean SyncML or a proprietary but increasingly prevalent protocol like ActiveSync? We'll see. They *are* showing some commitment to open standards just through their adoption of open source, but I'll grant you that the depth of this commitment remains to be seen.

One thing that I know has got to sap the energy of a relatively small outfit like Palm is responding to the requirements of dozens of carriers worldwide. Even companies the size of Motorola are tapped out by the endless demands of the operator channel--often for requirements that relate very little to end user priorities. With the Treos the carrier organizations are the customer. With Foleo it's the end users, as it was in the beginning with Palm. That direct relationship has got to be liberating. Palm now has a product line with features and capabilities that they control. I'm very interested to see how much they are able to take advantage of this.

Posted by cervezas at Sunday, June 03, 2007 08:39:46

"can we agree that Foleo is really a PC?"

Yes, to some extent. But for whatever reasons, Hawkins is purposefully not calling it that. The emphasis is on how wonderfully it serves as a smartphone companion. (And as such, I'm not interested.)

It seems even your wife wants to see it as a simplified PC. That is how I would like to see it as well. But it will only become that if either Palm moves it that way or it is open enough for developers to move it that way. We will see.

Maybe in the same way the Pilot "organizer" became a pocket computer, the Foleo smartphone companion can become a very "lean PC". I'm curious, but I won't be holding my breath.

Posted by twrock at Sunday, June 03, 2007 21:09:13

While the media continues to crusade to annoint a winner in the OS wars between Microsoft and Apple, the Palm OS has rather quietly won the hearts and wallets of most computer (I don't mean cellular) users, not just because of its user-friendly evolution from the Pilot to the Treo, but because of the longstanding commitment by the development community to bring to market inexpensive, simple (not bloatware) apps that solve common problems, and even fun apps to pass the time.

With that in mind, I agree this post and its echoes on the Web that the "mobile companion" tag seems like a bit of misdirection, deflecting what I hope is Palm's true intent: bring to market a new OS / hardware "ecosystem" that finally makes computing easy AND inexpensive.

Posted by Mk at Sunday, June 17, 2007 17:58:16

Add Comment

Comments must be approved before being published. Thank you!